Saturday, May 10, 2008

The 3 Point Margins That Rule Perceptions: 3% Dis

I have never seen in my life so much hate toward a black man. Well, actually I have. But hey, what can I say? Congrats Barack and hopefully we can see what FINALLY happens to the Democratic nomination.

But what I really want to know is what the purpose of those polls is really? Okay, I can see that the polls give an estimated gauge of American people are thinking in regards to what the question is. But, what is really the purpose of the questions they ask people?

I mean, one question on CNN asked white people would they vote for a black candidate. Another question they asked white voters was does race dictate who you vote for in the primary. I mean what kind of skittles-and-M & M-type stuff is that? Is that truly responsible reporting from an objective standpoint? Are you kidding?

Hey, what would be a better way to ask those questions is to really honestly prey upon the real underlying biases that all people have especially in this election. The questions could be tailored to draw out the answer that journalists wanted anyway. Like imagine...

(Scenario #1)

Journalist #1 - "So, would YOU vote for a Black presidential candidate?"

Red-neck white person- "What? You mean that mixed-nigger Senator Obama? Hell, naw! I wonder how did that happen? This damn country is going to hell!!!! Where is my shotgun?"

(Scenario #2)

Journalist #2- So, would YOU vote for a Black presidential candidate?

So-called "regular" white person- "Oh yeah I would. I think it's a real time for change in this country.

Journalist # 2- "So, you would vote for Obama in this upcoming election?"

So-called "regular" white person- "Obama?? Uhhhh, I meant like Oprah or somebody. Not him. I mean he's okay...but, not right now.

(Scenario #3)

Journalist #3- So, would YOU vote for a Black presidential candidate?

Probably a truthful white person that doesn't care about polls of any kind- "No! I never will ever vote for him EVER!"

So, yeah...that's where the American public's perceptions attached between a poll that has an error rate of 3 percent positive or negative. I can at least be happy to know that the racist attitudes of most White Americans still exist and a poll can’t conceal or tell me otherwise. I actually know for a fact that this is where many people get their perceptions of candidates...those raggedy old polls. I just hope that when you finally decide which way you move a poll won't be the determinant of how you vote. I mean this is like the Ashe conformity experiment on steroids.* Get you minds right folks and follow your heart…and we will see. But I hope that you won’t forget…things don’t change in this country too fast so don’t expect to see any more Black presidential candidates anytime soon…Obama has enough hell JUST to get to the nomination….God Bless America.

* The Asch conformity experiments, which were published in 1953, were a series of studies that starkly demonstrated the power of conformity in groups. These are also known as the "Asch Paradigm”. Experiments led by Solomon Asch asked groups of students to participate in a "vision test." In reality, all but one of the participants was confederates of the experimenter, and the study was really about how the remaining student would react to the confederates' behavior.
The participants — the real subject and the confederates — were all seated in a classroom where they were told to announce out loud their judgment of the length of several lines drawn on a series of displays. They were asked which line was longer than the other, which were the same length, etc. The confederates had been prearranged to all give an incorrect answer to the tests.
While most subjects answered correctly, many showed extreme discomfort, and a high proportion (32%) conformed to the erroneous majority view of the others in the room when there were at least three confederates present, even when the majority said that two lines different in length by several inches were the same length. When the confederates were not unanimous in their judgment, subjects were much more likely to defect than when the confederates all agreed. Control subjects with no exposure to a majority view had no trouble giving the correct answer.

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